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Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Opinion Research Conducting Poll in NY-7

A source notified me that he received a call today asking his opinion on the Velazquez-Dilan race. The pollster identified herself as from opinion research, and told him that it's an independent poll (I find it interesting that Opinion Research should start a poll on a mundane race so early in season. We will find out shortly if the firm will release results). He spent most of the time listing a lot of possible attacks on the candidates.

For example, he asked him if knowing that Velazquez is anti-Israel will change his view on her; or if knowing that she haven’t introduced a single bill in congress for a while will affect his opinion. The list of attacks-testing on Dilan was longer, including his wife's position in the struggling Wyckoff hospital, his close ties to Vito Lopez and much more.

In other news, Politicker lists Velazquez as a loser in the recent fundraising round. Her receipts of $55,000, is less than half of Dilan's $130,000 during the last filing period. Only $500 of Velazquez's amount came from an individual, while the rest came from PACs etc. Dilan lists a number of elected officials between his donors, including Councilman Steve Levin and Friends of Steve Cohn, as well as Senate Minority leader John Sampson. Still,Velazquez enjoys an over five fold war chest, having started fund raising much earlier.

Also, during Pesach City & State substantiated a theory by Gatemouth that a third tire candidate in the race, the white Dan O'Conor who is talking Chinese languages entered the race to siphon away white and Chinese votes from Velazquez, who is strong in Carroll Gardens and in similar white progressive neighborhoods. A fourth candidate is George Martinez, who is a hip hop artist, who can chip away from Velazquez in Hipster community, where she would win most of the votes.

UPDATE: A Dilan insider was surprised to hear of the poll

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