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Thursday, March 22, 2012

Storobin Won Over 69% in Hikind's Orthodox District

In my last post I signaled skepticism on the claim that Storobin only won 58 percent of the Orthodox vote, quoting a Fidler ally that they were "killed in Borough Park." A reader sent me the election night breakdowns, and it shows that Storobin smashed Fidler in Dov Hikind's 48th Assembly district, which is the heaviest Orthodox district and is often viewed as reflecting the wider Orthodox communities' political leanings. Storobin’s showing there is only bettered by the 49th, which makes up a very minor part of the district.

According to the breakdowns by Ads (it’s printed from screen shot and some results are duplicated on 2 pages) Storobin pulled in 834 votes on the R line and 181 on the C line, to a total of 1015 69.14%; Fidler had 414 on the D line and  39 on the I line, totaling 453 votes, or 30.86%.

Election Night Results

The election night breakdown will probably change a bit. Celeste Katz is now reporting that Storobin edge shrank with two votes in the final (hopefully) machine re-canvass. It now stands by David Storobin - 10,674, and Lew Fidler by 10,556. He now enjoys a 118-vote lead (just enough to avoid recount, that kicks in if the lead is under 0.5 percent of the total vote). Also, there are 354 affidavit ballots, but part of them may be invalid, and the valid absentees are up to 771. Whatever the results are, the changes in AD 48 will probably be insignificant and it will continue to reflect the strong defiance in this Assembly district to high-profile directives. No wonder some are concerned by the Super-Jewish District that heart of it will be the AD-48.

UPDATE: Liz Benjamin has an interesting recount and recanvass primer.

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