Yossi: I Have the Numbers

It is over 60 hours since I asked Yossi Gestetner for his numbers on the growing Aranite power, but he is still mum and vague on the issue. Instead the Aranites put out a misleading press release, with clearly fabricate results .

So, I will put out the numbers that I have received from the Board of Elections, showing that the Zalanite power haven't changed much in the current election cycle.

Below are the Board of Election results of Assembly district 50 - where the overwhelming majority of the Williamsburg Hasidim vote - printed out in the morning after the elections.

The Aranites claim that the Zalanites had a slim 47/43 margin (no explanation where the other 10 percent went...). Fact of the matter is that the Dilan won this district even stronger than his own, receiving 5,252 votes, 57.14 percent; against Velasquez's 3,854 votes, or 41.93 percent.

It's important to note that the district is not Super-Jewish, and Velazquez ran very strong in the rest of the district and even won in the neighboring 53rd Assembly District, represented by Lopez. Velazquez was definitely much stronger with the non-Jewish voters, thus the Satmars broke for Dilan much stronger than the 57.14 that he won in the district as a whole.

Steve Levin's primary is often a reference point to the Satmar's strength in the neighborhood. Mr. Levin, backed by the Zalanites, won 52.65 percent of the district's vote - 3,879 votes; and Issac Abraham, who ran with support of the Aranites, pulled in 24.8 percent, or 1,830 votes. There were a couple of other strong candidates. Abraham received 92.87 percent of his total votes from the district, which shows that his votes were almost exclusively Hasidic, while Levin only received 72.58 percent of his total vote from Williamsburg, meaning that he had a lot of support in the non-Jewish community as well. That means that a larger part of his vote have to be credited to the non-Jewish versus Abraham's, while currently Velazquez fared much better with the non-Jewish.

To really assess the gains and losses of each side, will require breaking down the EDs, which is too time consuming and complicated. Also, I don't have the Levin breakdowns by EDs. But talking of a significant gain for the aranites and a 47/43 split, is laughable and show how trust-worthy they are. It's clear that the Zalanites did considerably better than the some 57 percent that Dilan won in the whole district, and it's quite possible that they even gained percentage-wise on the Levin votes.

Note: I'm told, and it looks like, that the Velazquez number in ED 47, where it shows 500, is a mistake, and added a zero to her total. My analysis took the report as is, but if this mistake is true, that would lower Velazquez' percentage to 38.9 percent, versus 60 percent for Dilan, meaning that the zalanites definitely gained on previous elections, given her strength in the districts outside the Jewish community.

And with over 5,000 votes brought out in an off-primary for a non-exciting candidate, I don't know of any other Jewish group that vote as strong and in-mass as the Williamsburg zalanites. They are a real voting powerhouse, but they have to catch up on the PR side...
Election Results AD 50

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