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Thursday, July 5, 2012

Links of Interest

After being bogged down in NY-07 and the slow summer season for a while, I'm now back with some recent updates on other races.

KJ, NY-18: Nan Hayworth was tossed from the independent lines, after some signatures were challenged. She's promising an appeal.

Hayworth is on a democratic target list that includes 25 congresspeople, 3 of New York. She will face off Sean Patrick Maloney, who appeared with his 4 former opponents and Hayworth's democratic predecessor at a rally. The race is expected to be close, as it was in the last 2 cycles when it switched parties. The third party line can make the difference.

NY-08: Fresh from his primary victory, Hakeem Jeffries is tapped by the the democratic congressional campaign committee to be one of 10 democratic fundraisers to assist democrats in tight congressional races. I wonder if he will have a convention spot (his 'duplicate', Barack Obama, got one when he first ran for Federal office)...

NY-07: Erik Dilan is not ruling out a rerun for congress. Before the elections, his supporters said that anything above 35 percent will be viewed a success to prepare for another run. He fell considerably short. He haven't spoken much to Vito Lopez since his defeat, and haven't spoke to Nydia Velazquez at all.

Hasidic Brooklyn, who looks to be Anti-Lopez but not Hasidic, analyzes the the NY-07 Hasidic vote. He's seeing the breakdown between the 2 Satmar factions as consistent with prior outcomes. The huge turn-out in the Hasidic neighborhoods is the real story, according to him.

Lincoln Restler blames Williamsburg Rabbi David Niederman, who is aligned with the Satmar zalanite faction, for two thirds of the Dilan's total votes.

September Primary in Williamsburg: Albert Friedman, Editor of the Tzeitung, told Gatemouth and writes in his newspaper that that huge turn-out, if it repeats in November, means that Lincoln Restler is doomed. Restler is the only one having a real primary in AD-50 for his district leader post. He's aligned with Velazquez, who lost the district handily.

State Senator Marty Dilan: will have to face off with Jason Otano, general counsel to BP Marty Markowitz, in a September primary. Dilan's son was badly defeated by Nydia Velazquez and and got a disappointing number of votes in the Dilan family's own turf, although he won the Assembly district that is in the heart of it. The results invigorated the reformers to challenge Dilan in September. The also eye a fight for Erik Dilan's seat when he gets term limited next year?

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